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The prediction of world war iii from a personal perspective

Setting[ edit ] In 1984 Democratic Party nominee Walter Mondale loses a divisive presidential election to a relatively unknown conservative Republicanthe fictitious Governor Thompson of South Carolina.

After Thompson takes office, his political and diplomatic advisors draft a report on the increasing complexities of the international geopolitical situation, which will assist the new president in shaping foreign policy direction. The People's Republic of China is becoming the premier economic power in Asia, bolstered by various strategic partnerships with Japanese industry. Various other Asian countries are also performing well as their economies are buoyed by China's recent successes, save for Indiawhich is disintegrating as a political union and devolving into smaller coalitions of mutually hostile proto-states.

Egypt 's longstanding regime has just been ousted and replaced by an unstable left-wing government, intensifying the Arab Cold War through its bitter rivalry with Saudi Arabia. South Africa has become a federation under the bantustan system but is increasingly threatened by Nigeriawhich has committed troops to the South African Border War. The Soviet sphere of influence is rapidly shrinking, as most of India's larger and wealthier states have declared themselves allies of the US, and North Korea and Vietnam have followed China's lead in liberalizing their economies, which has made them vital partners in the Sino-Japanese trade alliance and considerably less disposed towards Soviet overtures.

  • New generations of veterans are aging before our eyes;
  • On April 29, as the Battle of Berlin raged and the Fhrer prepared to end his life, the prime minister sent a telegram to Anthony Eden, in San Francisco, where the foreign minister was expected to be a further four weeks in work on the world organization;
  • In response, the Warsaw Pact mobilizes and subsequently launches a full-scale invasion of Western Europe on 4 August 1985 the anniversary of the start of the First World War.

Despite massive infusions of Soviet arms and Cuban troops, Ethiopia becomes fragmented under the incompetent governance of the Dergresulting in its loss of several regions to separatists, including Eritrea. The integrity of the Warsaw Pact is also threatened by restive nationalist movements, often accompanied by anti-Kremlin sentiment, in Poland and even the Central Asian Soviet republics. Politburo debate[ edit ] The Politburo of the Communist Party of the Soviet Union comes to the consensus that its economy is stagnating and the armed forces may not retain technological parity with the West for much longer.

The Politburo leadership believes that it would be in their best interests to invade Western Europe and decisively expand the Soviet sphere of influence. Although resistance from NATO is anticipated, the Politburo gambles on a quick and easy victory over its European member nations before the United States can effectively mobilize a counteroffensive.

Soviet officials deliberate three strategic options: A land invasion of Western Europe would then follow intended to last 7 daysstopping at a line running from Linz - Frankfurt - Dunkirk. The Politburo debates the nuclear option intensely. Eventually, it was decided that any use of nuclear weapons would inevitably escalate to a full strategic exchange which would leave the Soviets so damaged as to make victory not worth while.

  • In a search for some of my own roots, I placed a Freedom of Information Act request for their information — just like I had for the Eydes;
  • Reporter December 6, 2017 More than a year ago, I walked into an Arizona pizza shop and was confronted by my own lack of familiarity with aspects of World War II;
  • Incredibly, Stalin acted with shock and surprise to the invasion and virtually disappeared for 10 days before returning to his duties and taking measures to repulse the Axis forces.

Variant C was therefore chosen, augmented with some selective chemical strikes occurring where they might prove to be most effective, with the understanding that if the advance of Warsaw Pact forces was halted by Western resistance led by NATOnuclear weapons could be used to regain the initiative on the battlefield.

An invasion of the western seaboard of the United States as a distraction from Western Europe was briefly considered but then dismissed as logistically implausible due to the Soviet inability to lift enough airborne divisions and the US Naval and Air Defences along the US west coast.

It was also agreed that it would be Soviet policy to discourage the European neutrals from entry into the war, especially Ireland and Sweden. The Politburo agreed to try to convince France to stay out of the conflict, as this would help create division in NATO and thereby make a Warsaw Pact victory more likely.

I wrote about one family’s history in World War II. Now I wonder more about my own roots.

In response, the Warsaw Pact mobilizes and subsequently launches a full-scale invasion of Western Europe on 4 August 1985 the anniversary of the start of the First World War. Soviet forces thrust through West Germany towards the Rhineand also land forces in northern Norway and Turkey. Attacks are also carried out using long-range strategic bombingnaval forces, and even killer satellites in space. The Soviet Union had hoped that Ireland, Sweden and France would stay out of the war, as this would take some pressure off the invading Warsaw Pact forces, making victory more likely.

Sweden, initially trying to stay neutral, is forced into the war when the Soviet Air Force repeatedly overflies its airspace to attack Norway. The Soviets believed that because Sweden had not been in a war since the 1800s, it would not respond.

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The Soviet conventional-force juggernaut quickly loses steam. Stiff resistance by NATO eventually foils the Soviet invasion, and Warsaw Pact forces get no further west at least within Germany than the town of Krefeldand no further south than the Netherlandswhich they briefly occupy.

From mid-August, the capacity of the Soviet Union to wage war is significantly attrited by the political and military desertion of some of its demoralized allies, internal dissent at home, and mutinies within its own forces. To prove to the the prediction of world war iii from a personal perspective that they are still a force to be reckoned with, the Soviets launch a successful nuclear missile strike against Birmingham, United Kingdom.

The US Navy and Royal Navy retaliate with a joint nuclear strike on Minskwhich accelerates the collapse of Soviet control in its satellite states in the Eastern Bloc. A coup d'etat led by Ukrainian nationalists overthrows the Soviet Politburoaccelerating the end of the Soviet threat. Protagonists[ edit ] Since the style of the book is as a fictional retrospective, much of it is written in a formal, historical tone. Interspersed with these sections, however, are short stories depicting various events unfolding in view of various characters.

One character that does appear in a number of stories is Andrei Nekrassov, a 24-year old officer commanding a company of BMPs in the Soviet 197th Motor Rifle Divisionwho engages with NATO forces on various occasions, moving from a credulous young man affected by propaganda into a more cynical, harder man whose experience of war against the west has affected his belief in the Soviet system.

A new post-war world[ edit ] The ruins of Birmingham and Minsk are eventually turned into war memorials fronted by immense causewayswith the memorials respectively called Peace City West and Peace City East. German reunificationformerly a goal of both East and West Germany, never happens. Members of both sides of the recent war are against it, and it does not have any significant amount of support in East Germany or West Germany, as the two countries have developed separate national identities.

Three new superpowers look to develop together in peace, this time regarding each other as peaceful friends and competitors in the economic sense, rather than as political and military rivals. The new superpowers are the European Confederationthe United States, and a similar Asian confederation dominated by Japan and China.

Alternate ending[ edit ] In The Untold Story a separate chapter is devoted to an alternative, much darker, scenario written in the form of radio transcripts and newspaper editorials. The alternative scenario assumes the following factors have changed from the 'real' story: The Peace Movements in the '50s'60s and '70s have been successful in removing theater nuclear forces from Western Europe.

The United Kingdom has scrapped its nuclear missile submarinesabandoning Polaris and refusing to proceed with Trident. Public pressure, led by the peace movements, prevented a compensatory increase in spending on conventional forces as nuclear forces were reduced, amplifying NATO's existing disadvantage in conventional forces this disadvantage had been evened out previously by the theater nuclear forces.

In examining this picture, the Soviet Union feels that NATO is not prepared to aggressively defend Western Europe, and thus the time is right for a successful invasion. The scenario recognizes that since there is no freedom of speech in the Soviet Union, there are no similar demands from any peace movements inside the Soviets to reduce its forces, therefore Soviet forces remain at a high level of capability compared to the waning preparedness of Western forces.

The Soviet invasion of Western Europe thus begins, quickly overrunning NATO conventional forces in the Low Countries with a vicious combined arms attack, and soon reaching the French border.

Driven by their fear of a Soviet occupation, or a punitive bombing campaign if they refuse to comply, France withdraws from the conflict after the Soviet Union assures them that if they do so, they will escape occupation and attack. All US forces are withdrawn from Europe. Despite not being occupied, the UK is forced to accept a set of conditions which allows the Soviet Union to effectively control its military, economic, and political institutions, beginning, ironically, with the eradication of trade union rights and the termination of the European Community's social market economy.

A joint UK-Soviet Commission will control the country. The Queen stays in the UK, dispersing the major members of the Royal family to various Commonwealth states. This chapter is not included in the Macmillan edition. Literary significance and criticism[ edit ] Hackett had two objectives in mind: Indeed, the limited use of nuclear weapons portrayed in this scenario comes as a result of one side's conventional forces becoming weak and vulnerable the Sovietsthus triggering the swift response from the other side, the similarly limited NATO retaliation, implemented by the US and the UK simultaneously.

Points that Lehmann-Haupt questioned included the portrayal of the Soviets as not initiating a major nuclear exchange and thereby a global nuclear war as they near defeat as well as the rosy fact that Western forces do not suffer critical setbacks caused by poor decisions or bad luck.

The effects of the war and enlightened policies resolve many local conflicts, from Ireland, to Central Americaand likewise in Palestine. The reviewer also criticized the book for being too dry and swift in illustrating major incidents in the story. Because Hackett consulted with many military and political experts, however, Lehmann-Haupt stated that the book represented a "very high order of strategic thinking" and "a signal to the Soviets, or even a warning, of the way some Western military leaders are thinking.